Frost Dates for Paige, TX
In an average year around Paige, TX, the last spring frost (32°F) is about Mar 12 and the first fall frost is about Nov 19, giving roughly a 251-day growing season. To be safe most years, wait until Feb 18 before setting out tender plants.
Last spring frost
Dates the last frost of spring typically ends. Plant tender crops after the risk has passed for your comfort level.
| Frost intensity | Early (10%) | Average (50%) | Late (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light (36°F) | Apr 22 | Mar 30 | Mar 3 |
| Freeze (32°F) | Apr 11 | Mar 12 | Feb 18 |
| Hard (28°F) | Mar 29 | Feb 26 | Jan 24 |
| Severe (24°F) | Mar 11 | Feb 1 | Dec 25 |
Show full probability table (all thresholds & percentiles)
| °F | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 22 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Mar 29 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 |
| 28°F | Mar 29 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 11 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 11 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 7 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | Jan 31 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 18 |
First fall frost
Dates the first frost of fall typically arrives. Count back by a crop's days-to-maturity to know your planting cutoff.
| Frost intensity | Early (10%) | Average (50%) | Late (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light (36°F) | Oct 24 | Nov 7 | Nov 29 |
| Freeze (32°F) | Nov 1 | Nov 19 | Dec 11 |
| Hard (28°F) | Nov 11 | Dec 3 | Jan 3 |
| Severe (24°F) | Nov 27 | Dec 23 | Feb 1 |
Show full probability table (all thresholds & percentiles)
| °F | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 29 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Jan 3 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 26 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | Dec 17 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 31 |
Growing season is measured at 32°F with about 50% probability. Hardiness zone from the 2023 USDA map; frost normals from NOAA 1991-2020.
These dates are computed from the nearest official weather station with long-term records: Smithville, Tx, about 13.9 miles away@if(!empty($station['elevation_ft'])), at 317 ft elevation. The further the station and the greater the elevation difference from your yard, the more your local frost timing can vary.
Frost and freeze dates come from the NOAA 1991–2020 U.S. Climate Normals, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's 30-year averages for each weather station. A date shown at the 50% level is the median: in half of years the frost falls on or before it. The 10% and 90% columns show the early and late ends of the range, so you can plant on the odds you're comfortable with. These are long-term averages, not a forecast for this year - always check your local outlook before planting.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991–2020 Climate Normals (public domain). Harman is not affiliated with or endorsed by NOAA.
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Paige, TX?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) around Paige, TX is about Mar 12. In cooler years it can run later, so for a safer bet many gardeners wait until Feb 18.
When is the first frost in the fall?
The first fall frost around Paige, TX typically arrives about Nov 19. Count back by a crop's days to maturity to find the latest date you can plant it.
When can I plant tomatoes and other tender crops?
Tender crops like tomatoes, peppers and basil are damaged by frost, so wait until the last spring frost has passed - around Mar 12 on average, or Feb 18 to be safe most years.
How long is the growing season here?
The frost-free growing season (between the last spring and first fall 32°F frost) is about 251 days in a typical year.
Are these dates a forecast for this year?
No. They are 30-year averages from the NOAA 1991–2020 Climate Normals, not a prediction for the current year. Use them for planning and always check your local weather forecast before planting or protecting crops.
Local weather for 78659 Planting calendar → Texas frost dates →
Data source: NOAA 1991–2020 Climate Normals · Page updated Aug 4, 2026