Frost Dates for China Spring, TX
In an average year around China Spring, TX, the last spring frost (32°F) is about Mar 15 and the first fall frost is about Nov 15, giving roughly a 245-day growing season. To be safe most years, wait until Feb 24 before setting out tender plants.
Last spring frost
Dates the last frost of spring typically ends. Plant tender crops after the risk has passed for your comfort level.
| Frost intensity | Early (10%) | Average (50%) | Late (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light (36°F) | Apr 18 | Mar 31 | Mar 9 |
| Freeze (32°F) | Apr 6 | Mar 15 | Feb 24 |
| Hard (28°F) | Mar 24 | Mar 2 | Feb 4 |
| Severe (24°F) | Mar 10 | Feb 13 | Jan 11 |
Show full probability table (all thresholds & percentiles)
| °F | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 6 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 28°F | Mar 24 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 11 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 4 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Feb 14 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 7 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 |
First fall frost
Dates the first frost of fall typically arrives. Count back by a crop's days-to-maturity to know your planting cutoff.
| Frost intensity | Early (10%) | Average (50%) | Late (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light (36°F) | Oct 22 | Nov 4 | Nov 22 |
| Freeze (32°F) | Nov 1 | Nov 15 | Dec 4 |
| Hard (28°F) | Nov 7 | Nov 28 | Dec 21 |
| Severe (24°F) | Nov 21 | Dec 14 | Jan 14 |
Show full probability table (all thresholds & percentiles)
| °F | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 21 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | Dec 4 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 22 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 18 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 21 | Jan 31 | Feb 12 |
Growing season is measured at 32°F with about 50% probability. Hardiness zone from the 2023 USDA map; frost normals from NOAA 1991-2020.
These dates are computed from the nearest official weather station with long-term records: Waco Rgnl Ap, Tx, about 7.9 miles away@if(!empty($station['elevation_ft'])), at 500 ft elevation. The further the station and the greater the elevation difference from your yard, the more your local frost timing can vary.
Frost and freeze dates come from the NOAA 1991–2020 U.S. Climate Normals, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's 30-year averages for each weather station. A date shown at the 50% level is the median: in half of years the frost falls on or before it. The 10% and 90% columns show the early and late ends of the range, so you can plant on the odds you're comfortable with. These are long-term averages, not a forecast for this year - always check your local outlook before planting.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991–2020 Climate Normals (public domain). Harman is not affiliated with or endorsed by NOAA.
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in China Spring, TX?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) around China Spring, TX is about Mar 15. In cooler years it can run later, so for a safer bet many gardeners wait until Feb 24.
When is the first frost in the fall?
The first fall frost around China Spring, TX typically arrives about Nov 15. Count back by a crop's days to maturity to find the latest date you can plant it.
When can I plant tomatoes and other tender crops?
Tender crops like tomatoes, peppers and basil are damaged by frost, so wait until the last spring frost has passed - around Mar 15 on average, or Feb 24 to be safe most years.
How long is the growing season here?
The frost-free growing season (between the last spring and first fall 32°F frost) is about 245 days in a typical year.
Are these dates a forecast for this year?
No. They are 30-year averages from the NOAA 1991–2020 Climate Normals, not a prediction for the current year. Use them for planning and always check your local weather forecast before planting or protecting crops.
Local weather for 76633 Planting calendar → Texas frost dates →
Data source: NOAA 1991–2020 Climate Normals · Page updated Aug 4, 2026