Last spring frost
Jan 16
Frost Dates for Lakewood Ranch, FL
First fall frost
Jan 11
Growing season
365 days
Hardiness zone
10a
In an average year around Lakewood Ranch, FL, the last spring frost (32°F) is about Jan 16 and the first fall frost is about Jan 11, giving roughly a 365-day growing season. To be safe most years, wait until Dec 26 before setting out tender plants.
Last spring frost
Dates the last frost of spring typically ends. Plant tender crops after the risk has passed for your comfort level.
| Frost intensity | Early (10%) | Average (50%) | Late (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light (36°F) | Feb 23 | Jan 27 | Dec 31 |
| Freeze (32°F) | Feb 9 | Jan 16 | Dec 26 |
Show full probability table (all thresholds & percentiles)
| °F | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Feb 23 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 |
| 32°F | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 |
First fall frost
Dates the first frost of fall typically arrives. Count back by a crop's days-to-maturity to know your planting cutoff.
| Frost intensity | Early (10%) | Average (50%) | Late (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light (36°F) | Dec 11 | Jan 8 | Feb 5 |
| Freeze (32°F) | Dec 20 | Jan 11 | Feb 5 |
Show full probability table (all thresholds & percentiles)
| °F | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Jan 27 | Feb 5 |
| 32°F | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
Growing season is measured at 32°F with about 50% probability. Hardiness zone from the 2023 USDA map; frost normals from NOAA 1991-2020.
Where this data comes from
@endif These dates are computed from the nearest official weather station with long-term records: Bradenton 5 Ese, Fl, about 7.3 miles away@if(!empty($station['elevation_ft'])), at 20 ft elevation. The further the station and the greater the elevation difference from your yard, the more your local frost timing can vary.
How we calculate these dates
Frost and freeze dates come from the NOAA 1991–2020 U.S. Climate Normals, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's 30-year averages for each weather station. A date shown at the 50% level is the median: in half of years the frost falls on or before it. The 10% and 90% columns show the early and late ends of the range, so you can plant on the odds you're comfortable with. These are long-term averages, not a forecast for this year - always check your local outlook before planting.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991–2020 Climate Normals (public domain). Harman is not affiliated with or endorsed by NOAA.
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lakewood Ranch, FL?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) around Lakewood Ranch, FL is about Jan 16. In cooler years it can run later, so for a safer bet many gardeners wait until Dec 26.
When is the first frost in the fall?
The first fall frost around Lakewood Ranch, FL typically arrives about Jan 11. Count back by a crop's days to maturity to find the latest date you can plant it.
When can I plant tomatoes and other tender crops?
Tender crops like tomatoes, peppers and basil are damaged by frost, so wait until the last spring frost has passed - around Jan 16 on average, or Dec 26 to be safe most years.
How long is the growing season here?
The frost-free growing season (between the last spring and first fall 32°F frost) is about 365 days in a typical year.
Are these dates a forecast for this year?
No. They are 30-year averages from the NOAA 1991–2020 Climate Normals, not a prediction for the current year. Use them for planning and always check your local weather forecast before planting or protecting crops.
Local weather for 34211 Planting calendar → Florida frost dates →
Data source: NOAA 1991–2020 Climate Normals · Page updated Aug 4, 2026